![]() ![]() The relevant experts may include suppliers, dealers, customers, consultants and academics. The choice of experts and the identification of their level and area of expertise are important the structuring of the questions is even more important. It is best used in making long-term forecasts and revealing how new technologies and other factors could trigger discontinuities in technological trajectories. The opinion of outside experts, or Delphi method, is useful where there is a great deal of uncertainty or for long time horizons. Delphi is used where a consensus of expert opinion is required on the timing, probability and identification of future technological goals or consumer needs and the factors likely to affect their achievement.
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